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Earnings transcript
Read the complete earnings call transcript.
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.
$4.09
-0.02
(-0.49%)
| Exchange: | NYSE |
| Market Cap: | 2.445B |
| Shares Outstanding: | 603.283M |
About The Company
| Sector: | Consumer Cyclical | |||||
| Industry: | Packaging & Containers | |||||
| CEO: | Oliver Graham | |||||
| Full Time Employees: | 6300 | |||||
| Address: |
| |||||
| Website: | https://www.ardaghmetalpackaging.com |
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. supplies metal beverage cans in Europe, the United States, and Brazil. Its products are used in various end-use categories, including beer, carbonated soft drinks, energy drinks, hard seltzers, juices, pre-mixed cocktails, teas, sparkling waters, and wine. The company serves beverage producers. The company is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is a subsidiary of Ardagh Group S.A.
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Revenue Segmentation
EPS
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Earnings Call
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Key takeaways
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Login — it's freeIncome Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4,812,000 | 4,908,000 | 5,497,000 |
| Gross Profit | 474,000 | 630,000 | 559,000 |
| EBITDA | 508,000 | 629,000 | 739,000 |
| Operating Income | 76,000 | 202,000 | 276,000 |
| Net Income | -50,000 | -3,000 | 11,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Balance Sheet
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | 5,669,000 | 5,462,000 | 5,679,000 |
| Total Liabilities | 5,563,000 | 5,598,000 | 6,354,000 |
| Total Stockholders Equity | 100,000 | -142,000 | -675,000 |
| Total Debt | 3,734,000 | 3,902,000 | 4,419,000 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 434,000 | 602,000 | 522,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Cash Flow Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | 616,000 | 450,000 | 449,000 |
| Capital Expenditure | -379,000 | -187,000 | -184,000 |
| Free Cash Flow | 237,000 | 263,000 | 265,000 |
| Net Income | -50,000 | -3,000 | 11,000 |
| Net Change in Cash | -112,000 | 167,000 | -88,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Analyst Estimates
| Fiscal Year | 2028 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated Revenue (Low) | 6,136,040.251 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Revenue (High) | 6,136,040.253 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Revenue (Avg) | 6,136,040.252 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Low) | 1,108,506.368 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (High) | 1,108,506.369 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Avg) | 1,108,506.368 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Low) | 143,621.333 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Net Income (High) | 244,393.553 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Avg) | 194,007.443 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Low) | 379,918.259 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (High) | 379,918.259 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Avg) | 379,918.259 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated EPS (Avg) | 0.330 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated EPS (High) | 0.410 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated EPS (Low) | 0.240 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated Revenue) | 4 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated EPS) | 3 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
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Current Key Metrics
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Login — it's freeForward P/E Ratios
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Login — it's freeSWOT Analysis
Strengths (preview)
- Strong Free Cash Flow Generation: AMBP demonstrates a robust free cash flow profile, with $263 million reported for FY 2024 and a free cash flow yield of 13.76% TTM. This indicates solid operational efficiency and capacity to fund dividends and reinvestments despite net income challenges.
- Attractive Dividend Yield: The company offers a high dividend yield of 10.44% TTM, supported by a consistent dividend payment of $0.40 per share. This can be appealing to income-focused investors seeking steady returns.
- Market Position and Customer Base: Operating in the packaging and containers industry within the consumer cyclical sector, AMBP supplies metal beverage cans across key markets in Europe, the U.S., and Brazil. Its established relationships with beverage producers provide a stable revenue base.
- Recent Performance Gains: The stock has shown positive short-term performance, with a 35.89% increase over the past 3 months and a 5.12% gain over the past month, reflecting potential investor confidence or market momentum.
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At what price to buy it? -
Intrinsic Value Calculator
Based on current fundamentals and analyst forecasts, MARKETSnap estimates AMBP intrinsic value between $2.55 – $6.47 per share. This depends on revenue growth, margins, and discount rate.
This is an automatic estimate. The most reliable way to know fair value for your own assumptions is to run the calculator below.
Common questions about AMBP valuation
Is Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) overvalued or undervalued right now?
MARKETSnap estimates intrinsic value for Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) using its proprietary valuation methodology, which incorporates discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis together with long-term earnings and fundamentals assumptions. By comparing intrinsic value to the current market price, long-term investors can see whether the stock screens as potentially overvalued, fairly valued, or undervalued today.
Is AMBP a buy, hold, or sell for long-term investors?
MARKETSnap does not give one-word “buy” or “sell” calls. Instead, it shows whether AMBP trades at a premium or discount to its estimated intrinsic value, how sensitive that value is to growth and margin assumptions, and how the stock fits into a diversified, long-term portfolio so investors can make their own buy, hold, or sell decision.
What is AMBP’s P/E ratio?
You can see AMBP’s trailing P/E (TTM) and forward P/E estimates in the Current Key Metrics and Forward P/E Ratios sections above. The P/E ratio compares the current share price to earnings per share and helps investors gauge valuation relative to earnings.
How is intrinsic value calculated for AMBP?
MARKETSnap uses its own valuation framework—not a generic spreadsheet DCF alone. Future cash flows and earnings are projected, discounted, and combined with MARKETSnap’s methodology so intrinsic value reflects fundamentals and long-term assumptions. You can run your own inputs and see the result using the Intrinsic Value Calculator above.
Is AMBP a good long-term investment?
Whether AMBP fits a long-term portfolio depends on your assumptions about growth, margins, and risk. MARKETSnap provides the metrics, intrinsic value calculator, and SWOT context so you can form your own view rather than rely on a single buy/sell rating.
AMBP
1-day price chart preview. Log in for 1W through 5Y ranges and period tabs.
Daily snapshot
-0.49
Trading Metrics:
| Open: | 4.04 | Previous Close: | 4.11 | |
| Day Low: | 4.01 | Day High: | 4.12 | |
| Year Low: | 2.53 | Year High: | 5.03 | |
| Price Avg 50: | 4.46 | Price Avg 200: | 4.07 | |
| Volume: | 783899 | Average Volume: | 1.522M |
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Login — it's freeAMBP full analysis
Welcome to MARKETSNAP’s SWOT analysis for Ardagh Metal Packaging, also known by its ticker AMBP. If you’re a long-term investor looking to build wealth, you’ve come to the right place. Today, we’re diving deep into this company to uncover what makes it tick, where it shines, and where it might face some headwinds. Let’s break it down and see if this stock deserves a spot in your portfolio. Stick with me as we explore the ins and outs of Ardagh…
