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ZTO stock logo

ZTO

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

$24.06
0.04
 (0.17%)
Exchange:   NYSE
Market Cap:   19.191B
Shares Outstanding:   783.124M
Overview
Earnings
Financials
Valuation
Chart

About The Company

Sector:  Industrials
Industry:  Integrated Freight & Logistics
   
CEO:  Meisong Lai
Full Time Employees:  24477
Address: 
Building One
Shanghai
201708
CN
Website:  https://www.zto.com
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People’s Republic of China. The company offers delivery services for e-commerce and traditional merchants, and other express service users. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a fleet of approximately 10,900 trucks. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People’s Republic of China.

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Revenue Segmentation

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EPS

Historical EPS and analyst estimates in one chart. Log in for the full interactive view and links to detailed estimates.

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View full analyst estimates

Earnings Call

Latest materials on file: Q1 2025 (2025/05/20)

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Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow Statement
Analyst Estimates

Income Statement

Year202320242025
Revenue38,418,91544,280,72047,760,982
Gross Profit11,662,52613,717,09211,937,108
EBITDA13,853,44315,036,87112,658,812
Operating Income10,007,92411,776,8599,371,408
Net Income8,749,0048,816,8358,833,250

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(* All numbers are in thousands)

Balance Sheet

Year202320242025
Total Assets88,465,22192,340,33091,081,960
Total Liabilities28,184,81329,665,49723,902,795
Total Stockholders Equity59,801,74562,062,39266,426,602
Total Debt15,437,67217,345,12911,081,258
Cash and Cash Equivalents12,333,88413,465,44210,047,056

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(* All numbers are in thousands)

Cash Flow Statement

Year202220232024
Operating Cash Flow11,479,30813,360,96711,429,436
Capital Expenditure-7,412,732-6,669,781-5,902,129
Free Cash Flow4,066,5766,691,1865,527,307
Net Income6,658,9668,749,0048,887,595
Net Change in Cash2,833,726448,223479,637

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(* All numbers are in thousands)

Analyst Estimates

Fiscal Year2028Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Estimated Revenue (Low)62,574,151.892Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Estimated Revenue (High)70,519,198.759Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Estimated Revenue (Avg)66,233,590.445Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Estimated Ebitda (Low)17,356,366.127Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Estimated Ebitda (High)19,560,105.821Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Estimated Ebitda (Avg)18,371,394.752Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Estimated Net Income (Low)12,506,402.957Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Estimated Net Income (High)14,723,367.239Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Estimated Net Income (Avg)13,614,885.098Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Estimated SGA Expense (Low)3,057,261.136Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Estimated SGA Expense (High)3,445,441.915Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Estimated SGA Expense (Avg)3,236,054.758Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Estimated EPS (Avg)16.260Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Estimated EPS (High)17.940Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Estimated EPS (Low)15.240Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Number of Analysts (Estimated Revenue)11Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
Number of Analysts (Estimated EPS)5Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access

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(* All numbers are in thousands)

Current Key Metrics

?Revenue
 (TTM)
: 
6.153B  ?P/S
 (TTM)
: 
2.75
?Net Income
 (TTM)
: 
1.224B  ?P/E
 (TTM)
: 
14.79
?Enterprise Value
 (TTM)
: 
135.772B  ?EV/FCF
 (TTM)
: 
58.63
?Dividend Yield
 (TTM)
: 
0.03  ?Payout Ratio
 (TTM)
: 
0.85
?ROE
 (TTM)
: 
0.14  ?ROIC
 (TTM)
: 
0.11
?Net Debt
 (TTM)
: 
-685861835.1  ?Debt/Equity
 (TTM)
: 
0.17
?P/B
 (TTM)
: 
2.01  ?Current Ratio
 (TTM)
: 
1.49

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Forward P/E Ratios

?

Forward P/E (Avg EPS estimate) — log in with Full Access for high/low estimates and the interactive table.

Forward P/E 1YFull AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access
13.09Full AccessFull AccessFull AccessFull Access

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SWOT Analysis

Strengths (preview)
  • Strong Parcel Volume Growth: ZTO Express reported a parcel volume of 7.7 billion in Q1 2024, as highlighted in the earnings call transcript, reflecting robust operational performance and a strong market position in the express delivery sector.
  • Economies of Scale: The company’s earnings call emphasized leveraging economies of scale to drive cost efficiencies, which supports sustained profitability as evidenced by consistent revenue and gross profit figures in the income statements.
  • Solid Financial Metrics: Key metrics such as a healthy net profit margin (TTM) and positive free cash flow yield (TTM) from the key metrics data indicate financial stability and the ability to generate cash for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

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At what price to buy it? -
Intrinsic Value Calculator

This is an automatic estimate. The most reliable way to know fair value for your own assumptions is to run the calculator below.


Calculate ZTO Intrinsic Value

Common questions about ZTO valuation

Is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) overvalued or undervalued right now?

MARKETSnap estimates intrinsic value for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) using its proprietary valuation methodology, which incorporates discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis together with long-term earnings and fundamentals assumptions. By comparing intrinsic value to the current market price, long-term investors can see whether the stock screens as potentially overvalued, fairly valued, or undervalued today.

Is ZTO a buy, hold, or sell for long-term investors?

MARKETSnap does not give one-word “buy” or “sell” calls. Instead, it shows whether ZTO trades at a premium or discount to its estimated intrinsic value, how sensitive that value is to growth and margin assumptions, and how the stock fits into a diversified, long-term portfolio so investors can make their own buy, hold, or sell decision.

What is ZTO’s P/E ratio?

You can see ZTO’s trailing P/E (TTM) and forward P/E estimates in the Current Key Metrics and Forward P/E Ratios sections above. The P/E ratio compares the current share price to earnings per share and helps investors gauge valuation relative to earnings.

How is intrinsic value calculated for ZTO?

MARKETSnap uses its own valuation framework—not a generic spreadsheet DCF alone. Future cash flows and earnings are projected, discounted, and combined with MARKETSnap’s methodology so intrinsic value reflects fundamentals and long-term assumptions. You can run your own inputs and see the result using the Intrinsic Value Calculator above.

Is ZTO a good long-term investment?

Whether ZTO fits a long-term portfolio depends on your assumptions about growth, margins, and risk. MARKETSnap provides the metrics, intrinsic value calculator, and SWOT context so you can form your own view rather than rely on a single buy/sell rating.

ZTO

1-day price chart preview. Log in for 1W through 5Y ranges and period tabs.

0.17
MARKETSnap

Trading Metrics:

Open: 23.96   Previous Close: 24.02
Day Low: 23.96   Day High: 24.27
Year Low: 16.34   Year High: 26.2
Price Avg 50: 23.42   Price Avg 200: 20.32
Volume: 1.047M   Average Volume: 2.13M

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See in Nexus

Relevant news

ZTO Express Cayman (ZTO) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why
23-03-2026 13:00
ZTO Express Cayman (ZTO) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why
ZTO or CHRW: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
23-03-2026 12:40
ZTO or CHRW: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
ZTO vs. RXO: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
23-02-2026 12:41
ZTO vs. RXO: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZTO or RXO: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
05-02-2026 12:40
ZTO or RXO: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
ZTO Prices Offering of US$1.5 Billion Convertible Senior Notes
04-02-2026 09:35
ZTO Prices Offering of US$1.5 Billion Convertible Senior Notes
ZTO Announces Certain Preliminary Estimated Full Year 2025 Financial Results
04-02-2026 03:30
ZTO Announces Certain Preliminary Estimated Full Year 2025 Financial Results

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