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Earnings transcript
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OLLI
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
$95.22
3.98
(4.36%)
[ms_data_label text=’Delayed data’]
| Exchange: | NASDAQ |
| Market Cap: | 5.84B |
| Shares Outstanding: | 53.218M |
About The Company
| Sector: | Consumer Defensive | |||||
| Industry: | Discount Stores | |||||
| CEO: | Eric van der Valk | |||||
| Full Time Employees: | 5900 | |||||
| Address: |
| |||||
| Website: | https://www.ollies.us |
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of brand name merchandise. The company offers housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics; and other products, including hardware, candy, clothing, sporting goods, pet and lawn, and garden products. It provides its products primarily under the Ollie’s, Ollie’s Bargain Outlet, Good Stuff Cheap, Ollie’s Army, Real Brands Real Cheap!, Real Brands! Real Bargains, Sarasota Breeze, Steelton Tools, American Way, and Middleton Home names. As of August 3, 2022, it operated 450 stores in 29 states throughout half of the United States. The company was formerly known as Bargain Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. in March 2015. Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.
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Revenue Segmentation
EPS
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Earnings Call
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Key takeaways
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Login — it's freeIncome Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2,102,662 | 2,271,705 | 2,649,198 |
| Gross Profit | 832,365 | 914,452 | 1,031,948 |
| EBITDA | 277,421 | 293,461 | 378,182 |
| Operating Income | 227,799 | 249,503 | 322,946 |
| Net Income | 181,439 | 199,762 | 240,596 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Balance Sheet
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | 2,294,594 | 2,561,145 | 2,954,953 |
| Total Liabilities | 786,362 | 865,835 | 1,066,877 |
| Total Stockholders Equity | 1,508,232 | 1,695,310 | 1,888,076 |
| Total Debt | 488,749 | 564,870 | 685,928 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 266,262 | 205,123 | 259,680 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Cash Flow Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | 254,497 | 227,454 | 296,539 |
| Capital Expenditure | -124,404 | -120,554 | 0 |
| Free Cash Flow | 130,093 | 106,900 | 296,539 |
| Net Income | 181,439 | 199,762 | 240,596 |
| Net Change in Cash | 55,666 | -61,139 | 54,557 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Analyst Estimates
| Fiscal Year | 2029 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated Revenue (Low) | 3,692,347.932 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Revenue (High) | 3,758,181.520 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Revenue (Avg) | 3,720,343.690 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Low) | 468,238.382 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (High) | 476,586.948 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Avg) | 471,788.613 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Low) | 350,382.638 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Net Income (High) | 358,523.085 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Avg) | 353,844.397 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Low) | 981,175.738 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (High) | 998,669.842 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Avg) | 988,615.113 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated EPS (Avg) | 5.730 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated EPS (High) | 5.800 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated EPS (Low) | 5.670 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated Revenue) | 3 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated EPS) | 1 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
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Current Key Metrics
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Login — it's freeForward P/E Ratios
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Login — it's freeSWOT Analysis
Strengths (preview)
- Solid Revenue Growth: Ollie's reported a 2.8% increase in comparable store sales for Q4 2024, as highlighted in the earnings call transcript, reflecting strong customer demand and operational efficiency in existing stores.
- Healthy Financial Position: Key metrics indicate a favorable current ratio and quick ratio (TTM data), suggesting strong liquidity to meet short-term obligations, while a moderate debt-to-equity ratio (TTM) indicates balanced leverage.
- Positive Free Cash Flow: Cash flow statements show consistent free cash flow (TTM), supported by robust operating cash flow, providing flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.
- Operational Resilience: The earnings call emphasized infrastructure investments to support accelerated growth, with management reassuring investors about avoiding past operational challenges.
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At what price to buy it? -
Intrinsic Value Calculator
Based on current fundamentals and analyst forecasts, MARKETSnap estimates OLLI intrinsic value between $25.47 – $68.79 per share. This depends on revenue growth, margins, and discount rate.
This is an automatic estimate. The most reliable way to know fair value for your own assumptions is to run the calculator below.
Common questions about OLLI valuation
Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) overvalued or undervalued right now?
MARKETSnap estimates intrinsic value for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) using its proprietary valuation methodology, which incorporates discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis together with long-term earnings and fundamentals assumptions. By comparing intrinsic value to the current market price, long-term investors can see whether the stock screens as potentially overvalued, fairly valued, or undervalued today.
Is OLLI a buy, hold, or sell for long-term investors?
MARKETSnap does not give one-word “buy” or “sell” calls. Instead, it shows whether OLLI trades at a premium or discount to its estimated intrinsic value, how sensitive that value is to growth and margin assumptions, and how the stock fits into a diversified, long-term portfolio so investors can make their own buy, hold, or sell decision.
What is OLLI’s P/E ratio?
You can see OLLI’s trailing P/E (TTM) and forward P/E estimates in the Current Key Metrics and Forward P/E Ratios sections above. The P/E ratio compares the current share price to earnings per share and helps investors gauge valuation relative to earnings.
How is intrinsic value calculated for OLLI?
MARKETSnap uses its own valuation framework—not a generic spreadsheet DCF alone. Future cash flows and earnings are projected, discounted, and combined with MARKETSnap’s methodology so intrinsic value reflects fundamentals and long-term assumptions. You can run your own inputs and see the result using the Intrinsic Value Calculator above.
Is OLLI a good long-term investment?
Whether OLLI fits a long-term portfolio depends on your assumptions about growth, margins, and risk. MARKETSnap provides the metrics, intrinsic value calculator, and SWOT context so you can form your own view rather than rely on a single buy/sell rating.
OLLI
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4.36
Trading Metrics:
| Open: | [ms_cell_or_dash table='trading_quote' column='open'] | Previous Close: | [ms_cell_or_dash table='trading_quote' column='previousClose'] | |
| Day Low: | [ms_cell_or_dash table='trading_quote' column='dayLow'] | Day High: | [ms_cell_or_dash table='trading_quote' column='dayHigh'] | |
| Year Low: | 88.44 | Year High: | 141.74 | |
| Price Avg 50: | 105.35 | Price Avg 200: | 120.66 | |
| Volume: | 1.886M | Average Volume: | 1.309M |
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Login — it's freeOLLI full analysis
Welcome to MARKETSNAP’s SWOT analysis for Ollie’s Bargain Outlet! If you’re not familiar with this gem in the retail space, Ollie’s Bargain Outlet is a discount retailer operating in the consumer discretionary sector, focusing on offering closeout merchandise and excess inventory at bargain prices. Think of them as the treasure hunt of retail—always something new, always a deal. They’ve carved out a nice niche in the industry, and with a solid market cap and a wide footprint across the U.S.,…
