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Earnings transcript
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DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc.
$132.18
-2.3
(-1.71%)
| Exchange: | NASDAQ |
| Market Cap: | 25.402B |
| Shares Outstanding: | 252M |
Delayed data
About The Company
| Sector: | Consumer Defensive | |||||
| Industry: | Discount Stores | |||||
| CEO: | Michael C. Creedon Jr. | |||||
| Full Time Employees: | 150000 | |||||
| Address: |
| |||||
| Website: | https://www.dollartree.com |
Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) operates as a leading discount retailer, managing its extensive operations through two principal divisions: Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The Dollar Tree segment distinguishes itself by offering all its merchandise at a consistent price of $1.25. Its product range is broad, encompassing essential consumables like confectionery, various food items, health and personal care products, household cleaning chemicals, paper goods, and frozen or refrigerated foods. Beyond these daily necessities, customers can find a diverse selection of general merchandise, including toys, resilient housewares, gifts, stationery, party essentials, greeting cards, softline apparel, and arts and crafts supplies. The segment also prominently features seasonal items for holidays such as Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine’s Day. By January 29, 2022, this division maintained a substantial presence with 8,061 retail locations across its Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands, supported by 15 distribution centers in the U.S. and an additional two in Canada. Conversely, the Family Dollar segment functions as a general merchandise discount chain with varying prices. Its inventory is comprehensive, covering a wide array of consumable goods such as groceries, beverages, tobacco, personal care and health products, household chemicals, paper products, hardware, automotive accessories, diapers, batteries, and pet food and supplies. Additionally, the segment provides home products, which include housewares, home décor, giftware, and domestics like bedding and towels. Shoppers can also find apparel and accessories, encompassing clothing, fashion items, and footwear. Seasonal and electronics merchandise, ranging from holiday-specific goods to pre-paid cellular phones and services, along with stationery, school supplies, and toys, are also key offerings. As of January 29, 2022, the Family Dollar brand operated 8,016 stores and was supported by 11 distribution centers. Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree, Inc. is headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia.
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Revenue Segmentation
EPS
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Earnings Call
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Key takeaways
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Login — it's freeIncome Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 16,781,100 | 17,578,500 | 19,411,800 |
| Gross Profit | 6,019,700 | 6,294,400 | 7,066,800 |
| EBITDA | 2,174,900 | 2,018,000 | 2,363,100 |
| Operating Income | 1,774,500 | 1,462,000 | 1,598,200 |
| Net Income | -998,400 | -3,030,100 | 1,282,500 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Balance Sheet
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | 22,023,500 | 18,644,000 | 13,466,200 |
| Total Liabilities | 14,710,400 | 14,666,600 | 9,711,300 |
| Total Stockholders Equity | 7,313,100 | 3,977,400 | 3,754,900 |
| Total Debt | 7,368,400 | 7,830,600 | 4,623,900 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 425,200 | 1,256,500 | 717,800 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Cash Flow Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | 2,684,500 | 2,862,500 | 2,190,700 |
| Capital Expenditure | -2,107,600 | -1,299,400 | -1,134,000 |
| Free Cash Flow | 576,900 | 1,562,000 | 1,056,700 |
| Net Income | -998,400 | 1,042,500 | 1,282,500 |
| Net Change in Cash | 45,900 | 754,000 | -750,500 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Analyst Estimates
| Fiscal Year | 2031 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated Revenue (Low) | 24,643,187.055 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Revenue (High) | 25,256,607.736 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Revenue (Avg) | 25,018,900 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Low) | 3,065,821.178 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (High) | 3,142,135.906 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Avg) | 3,112,563.051 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Low) | 1,573,681.163 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Net Income (High) | 1,624,837.374 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Avg) | 1,605,014.007 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Low) | 6,277,333.077 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (High) | 6,433,589.081 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Avg) | 6,373,038.040 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated EPS (Avg) | 7.780 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated EPS (High) | 7.880 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated EPS (Low) | 7.630 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated Revenue) | 4 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated EPS) | 4 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
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Current Key Metrics
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Login — it's freeForward P/E Ratios
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Login — it's freeSWOT Analysis
Strengths (preview)
- Strong Revenue Growth: Dollar Tree, Inc. reported a robust 9.4% increase in revenue for Q3 2025, as highlighted in the earnings call transcript. This performance indicates effective sales strategies and market penetration within the discount retail sector.
- Operational Efficiency: The company’s focus on optimizing store operations and enhancing supply chain capabilities, as mentioned in the Q3 2025 earnings call, supports sustained profitability and scalability, evidenced by positive net income and operating cash flow trends in recent financial statements.
- Solid Financial Position: Key metrics such as a favorable current ratio (TTM) and manageable debt-to-equity ratio (TTM) suggest financial stability, providing the company with flexibility for future investments or debt servicing, as per the latest balance sheet data.
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At what price to buy it? -
Intrinsic Value Calculator
Based on current fundamentals and analyst forecasts, MARKETSnap estimates DLTR intrinsic value between $102.13 – $106.46 per share. This depends on revenue growth, margins, and discount rate.
This is an automatic estimate. The most reliable way to know fair value for your own assumptions is to run the calculator below.
[intrinsic_calculator]
Common questions about DLTR valuation
Is Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) overvalued or undervalued right now?
MARKETSnap estimates intrinsic value for Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) using its proprietary valuation methodology, which incorporates discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis together with long-term earnings and fundamentals assumptions. By comparing intrinsic value to the current market price, long-term investors can see whether the stock screens as potentially overvalued, fairly valued, or undervalued today.
Is DLTR a buy, hold, or sell for long-term investors?
MARKETSnap does not give one-word “buy” or “sell” calls. Instead, it shows whether DLTR trades at a premium or discount to its estimated intrinsic value, how sensitive that value is to growth and margin assumptions, and how the stock fits into a diversified, long-term portfolio so investors can make their own buy, hold, or sell decision.
What is DLTR’s P/E ratio?
You can see DLTR’s trailing P/E (TTM) and forward P/E estimates in the Current Key Metrics and Forward P/E Ratios sections above. The P/E ratio compares the current share price to earnings per share and helps investors gauge valuation relative to earnings.
How is intrinsic value calculated for DLTR?
MARKETSnap uses its own valuation framework—not a generic spreadsheet DCF alone. Future cash flows and earnings are projected, discounted, and combined with MARKETSnap’s methodology so intrinsic value reflects fundamentals and long-term assumptions. You can run your own inputs and see the result using the Intrinsic Value Calculator above.
Is DLTR a good long-term investment?
Whether DLTR fits a long-term portfolio depends on your assumptions about growth, margins, and risk. MARKETSnap provides the metrics, intrinsic value calculator, and SWOT context so you can form your own view rather than rely on a single buy/sell rating.
DLTR
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Daily snapshot
-1.71
Trading Metrics:
| Open: | 133.93 | Previous Close: | 134.48 | |
| Day Low: | 131.51 | Day High: | 133.93 | |
| Year Low: | 84.71 | Year High: | 142.4 | |
| Price Avg 50: | 125.02 | Price Avg 200: | 116.25 | |
| Volume: | 3.367M | Average Volume: | 3.36M |
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Login — it's freeDLTR full analysis
Welcome to MARKETSNAP’s SWOT analysis for Dollar Tree, Inc., also known by its ticker DLTR. If you’re a long-term investor looking to build wealth through smart retail picks, you’re in the right place. Today, we’re diving deep into Dollar Tree, a major player in the discount retail space, to break down its strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. We’ll also touch on recent developments and financials to give you a full picture of where this company stands and where it might…
