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Earnings transcript
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UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc.
$105.16
-2.71
(-2.51%)
| Exchange: | NYSE |
| Market Cap: | 89.387B |
| Shares Outstanding: | 1.095B |
Delayed data
About The Company
| Sector: | Industrials | |||||
| Industry: | Integrated Freight & Logistics | |||||
| CEO: | Carol Tome | |||||
| Full Time Employees: | 241250 | |||||
| Address: |
| |||||
| Website: | https://www.ups.com |
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) stands as a leading global entity in shipping and logistics, delivering an extensive array of services such as parcel and document conveyance, transportation of goods, and supply chain management. The corporation structures its widespread operations into two principal divisions: U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. Within the United States, its Domestic Package unit specializes in time-guaranteed delivery for a range of items, including correspondence, critical paperwork, smaller parcels, and palletized cargo, utilizing both air and surface transportation methods. Conversely, the International Package division ensures reliable, precise-time international shipping services across extensive geographical areas, encompassing Europe, the Asia Pacific region, Canada, Latin America, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East, and Africa. This segment notably features guaranteed express options for urgent consignments. Beyond core package services, UPS extends its reach to roughly 200 nations and jurisdictions, offering international air and sea cargo forwarding, expert customs clearance, distribution and after-sales support, alongside postal and advisory solutions. Furthermore, its diversified portfolio includes truckload transport brokering; tailored supply chain management for the healthcare and life sciences sectors; sophisticated shipping, tracking, and invoicing technologies; and a suite of financial and insurance offerings. Supporting these extensive operations is an impressive operational fleet of around 121,000 vehicles, comprising package cars, vans, tractors, and motorcycles. Additionally, it possesses 59,000 specialized containers integral for cargo transport aboard its aircraft. Established in 1907, United Parcel Service, Inc. has its corporate headquarters situated in Atlanta, Georgia.
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Revenue Segmentation
EPS
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Earnings Call
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Key takeaways
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Login — it's freeIncome Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 90,745,000 | 90,894,000 | 88,661,000 |
| Gross Profit | 17,706,000 | 17,058,000 | 16,030,000 |
| EBITDA | 12,714,000 | 11,912,000 | 11,927,000 |
| Operating Income | 9,371,000 | 8,685,000 | 7,867,000 |
| Net Income | 6,708,000 | 5,782,000 | 5,572,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Balance Sheet
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | 70,857,000 | 70,070,000 | 73,090,000 |
| Total Liabilities | 53,543,000 | 53,327,000 | 56,835,000 |
| Total Stockholders Equity | 17,306,000 | 16,718,000 | 16,227,000 |
| Total Debt | 26,729,000 | 25,652,000 | 24,890,000 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 3,169,000 | 6,112,000 | 5,887,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Cash Flow Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | 10,238,000 | 10,122,000 | 8,450,000 |
| Capital Expenditure | -5,158,000 | -3,909,000 | -3,685,000 |
| Free Cash Flow | 5,080,000 | 6,213,000 | 4,765,000 |
| Net Income | 6,708,000 | 5,782,000 | 5,572,000 |
| Net Change in Cash | -2,396,000 | 2,906,000 | -225,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Analyst Estimates
| Fiscal Year | 2030 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated Revenue (Low) | 107,475,045.329 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Revenue (High) | 111,268,001.788 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Revenue (Avg) | 109,363,000 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Low) | 17,213,633.068 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (High) | 17,821,128.143 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Avg) | 17,516,015.438 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Low) | 9,946,164.511 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Net Income (High) | 10,404,901.012 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Avg) | 10,174,500.011 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Low) | 6,512,569.270 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (High) | 6,742,407.663 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Avg) | 6,626,971.972 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated EPS (Avg) | 11.970 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated EPS (High) | 12.240 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated EPS (Low) | 11.700 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated Revenue) | 6 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated EPS) | 2 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
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Current Key Metrics
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Login — it's freeForward P/E Ratios
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Login — it's freeSWOT Analysis
Strengths (preview)
- Strong Financial Performance: UPS demonstrates robust revenue and net income figures as reflected in recent income statements, with consistent operating cash flow and free cash flow generation. This financial stability supports reinvestment and dividend payouts, evidenced by a competitive dividend yield (TTM) in key metrics.
- Market Position and Scale: As a leading player in the logistics and package delivery industry, UPS benefits from a vast operational network, significant market capitalization, and a high average trading volume, indicating strong investor confidence and liquidity.
- Operational Efficiency: High gross profit margins (TTM) and return on invested capital (ROIC TTM) from key metrics suggest effective cost management and capital utilization, positioning UPS favorably against industry peers.
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At what price to buy it? -
Intrinsic Value Calculator
Based on current fundamentals and analyst forecasts, MARKETSnap estimates UPS intrinsic value between $106.80 – $119.96 per share. This depends on revenue growth, margins, and discount rate.
This is an automatic estimate. The most reliable way to know fair value for your own assumptions is to run the calculator below.
[intrinsic_calculator]
Common questions about UPS valuation
Is United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) overvalued or undervalued right now?
MARKETSnap estimates intrinsic value for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) using its proprietary valuation methodology, which incorporates discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis together with long-term earnings and fundamentals assumptions. By comparing intrinsic value to the current market price, long-term investors can see whether the stock screens as potentially overvalued, fairly valued, or undervalued today.
Is UPS a buy, hold, or sell for long-term investors?
MARKETSnap does not give one-word “buy” or “sell” calls. Instead, it shows whether UPS trades at a premium or discount to its estimated intrinsic value, how sensitive that value is to growth and margin assumptions, and how the stock fits into a diversified, long-term portfolio so investors can make their own buy, hold, or sell decision.
What is UPS’s P/E ratio?
You can see UPS’s trailing P/E (TTM) and forward P/E estimates in the Current Key Metrics and Forward P/E Ratios sections above. The P/E ratio compares the current share price to earnings per share and helps investors gauge valuation relative to earnings.
How is intrinsic value calculated for UPS?
MARKETSnap uses its own valuation framework—not a generic spreadsheet DCF alone. Future cash flows and earnings are projected, discounted, and combined with MARKETSnap’s methodology so intrinsic value reflects fundamentals and long-term assumptions. You can run your own inputs and see the result using the Intrinsic Value Calculator above.
Is UPS a good long-term investment?
Whether UPS fits a long-term portfolio depends on your assumptions about growth, margins, and risk. MARKETSnap provides the metrics, intrinsic value calculator, and SWOT context so you can form your own view rather than rely on a single buy/sell rating.
UPS
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Daily snapshot
-2.51
Trading Metrics:
| Open: | 105.8 | Previous Close: | 107.87 | |
| Day Low: | 104.37 | Day High: | 105.99 | |
| Year Low: | 82 | Year High: | 122.41 | |
| Price Avg 50: | 102.49 | Price Avg 200: | 98.74 | |
| Volume: | 1.243M | Average Volume: | 6.335M |
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Login — it's freeUPS full analysis
Welcome to MARKETSNAP’s SWOT analysis for United Parcel Service, or UPS as most of us know it (ticker: UPS). If you’re a long-term investor looking to dig into one of the biggest players in the logistics game, you’re in the right place. Today, we’re breaking down the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats for UPS, with a conversational deep dive into what’s been moving this stock and what could shape its future. Let’s get started with a quick overview of where…
