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Earnings transcript
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TKR
The Timken Company
$98.92
-3.14
(-3.08%)
| Exchange: | NYSE |
| Market Cap: | 6.879B |
| Shares Outstanding: | 46.667M |
About The Company
| Sector: | Industrials | |||||
| Industry: | Manufacturing – Tools & Accessories | |||||
| CEO: | Lucian Boldea | |||||
| Full Time Employees: | 19000 | |||||
| Address: |
| |||||
| Website: | https://www.timken.com |
The Timken Company designs, manufactures, and manages engineered bearings and power transmission products worldwide. It operates in two segments, Mobile Industries and Process Industries. The Mobile Industries segment offers a portfolio of bearings, seals, and lubrication devices and systems, as well as power transmission components, engineered chains, augers, belts, couplings, clutches, brakes, and related products and maintenance services to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and end-users of off-highway equipment for the agricultural, construction, mining, outdoor power equipment, and power sports markets; and on-highway vehicles, including passenger cars, light trucks, and medium- and heavy-duty trucks, as well as rail cars and locomotives. It also provides power transmission systems and flight-critical components for civil and military aircraft, which include bearings, rotor-head assemblies, helicopter transmission systems, turbine engine components, gears, and housings. This segment sells its parts through a network of authorized automotive and heavy-truck distributors to individual end-users, equipment owners, operators, and maintenance shops. The Process Industries segment provides industrial bearings and assemblies; power transmission components, such as gears and gearboxes; and linear motion products, couplings, seals, lubricants, chains, belts, and related products and services to OEMs and end-users in various industries. It also offers aftermarket sales and service needs through a network of authorized industrial distributors; and repair and service for bearings and gearboxes, as well as electric motor rewind, repair, and services to end-users. The company offers its products under the Timken, Philadelphia Gear, Drives, Cone Drive, Rollon, Lovejoy, Diamond, BEKA, and Groeneveld brands. The Timken Company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in North Canton, Ohio.
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Revenue Segmentation
EPS
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Earnings Call
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Key takeaways
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Login — it's freeIncome Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4,769,000 | 4,573,000 | 4,581,800 |
| Gross Profit | 1,523,700 | 1,446,400 | 1,314,200 |
| EBITDA | 915,100 | 834,300 | 746,100 |
| Operating Income | 657,100 | 611,100 | 565,900 |
| Net Income | 394,100 | 352,700 | 288,400 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Balance Sheet
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | 6,541,700 | 6,411,000 | 6,676,800 |
| Total Liabilities | 3,839,300 | 3,426,900 | 3,331,100 |
| Total Stockholders Equity | 2,582,400 | 2,826,500 | 3,345,700 |
| Total Debt | 2,500,500 | 2,178,700 | 2,022,800 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 418,900 | 373,200 | 365,400 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Cash Flow Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | 545,200 | 475,600 | 554,300 |
| Capital Expenditure | -187,800 | -170,000 | -148,200 |
| Free Cash Flow | 357,400 | 305,600 | 406,100 |
| Net Income | 394,100 | 375,300 | 317,300 |
| Net Change in Cash | 78,600 | -45,700 | -8,200 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Analyst Estimates
| Fiscal Year | 2028 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated Revenue (Low) | 5,094,682.433 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Revenue (High) | 5,116,289.620 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Revenue (Avg) | 5,105,486.027 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Low) | 913,252.854 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (High) | 917,126.074 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Avg) | 915,189.464 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Low) | 465,560.367 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Net Income (High) | 580,481.913 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Avg) | 523,021.140 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Low) | 779,731.023 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (High) | 783,037.960 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Avg) | 781,384.492 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated EPS (Avg) | 7.450 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated EPS (High) | 8.270 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated EPS (Low) | 6.630 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated Revenue) | 2 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated EPS) | 2 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
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Current Key Metrics
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Login — it's freeForward P/E Ratios
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Login — it's freeSWOT Analysis
Strengths (preview)
- Solid Revenue Base: Timken reported Q2 2025 revenue of $1.17 billion, reflecting a stable top-line performance despite a slight decline, underpinned by consistent demand in key markets as highlighted in the earnings call transcript.
- Operational Efficiency: Strong gross profit margin (TTM) and net profit margin (TTM) metrics indicate effective cost management and profitability, positioning the company favorably within its industry, as per key metrics data.
- Positive Free Cash Flow: Robust free cash flow (TTM) and free cash flow yield (TTM) demonstrate the company’s ability to generate cash after capital expenditures, providing financial flexibility for dividends and reinvestment, based on cash flow statement data.
- Strategic Leadership Focus: The Q2 2025 earnings call emphasized a proactive approach to cost management and strategic positioning, which supports long-term stability and resilience in uncertain economic conditions.
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At what price to buy it? -
Intrinsic Value Calculator
Based on current fundamentals and analyst forecasts, MARKETSnap estimates TKR intrinsic value between $61.90 – $63.56 per share. This depends on revenue growth, margins, and discount rate.
This is an automatic estimate. The most reliable way to know fair value for your own assumptions is to run the calculator below.
Common questions about TKR valuation
Is The Timken Company (TKR) overvalued or undervalued right now?
MARKETSnap estimates intrinsic value for The Timken Company (TKR) using its proprietary valuation methodology, which incorporates discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis together with long-term earnings and fundamentals assumptions. By comparing intrinsic value to the current market price, long-term investors can see whether the stock screens as potentially overvalued, fairly valued, or undervalued today.
Is TKR a buy, hold, or sell for long-term investors?
MARKETSnap does not give one-word “buy” or “sell” calls. Instead, it shows whether TKR trades at a premium or discount to its estimated intrinsic value, how sensitive that value is to growth and margin assumptions, and how the stock fits into a diversified, long-term portfolio so investors can make their own buy, hold, or sell decision.
What is TKR’s P/E ratio?
You can see TKR’s trailing P/E (TTM) and forward P/E estimates in the Current Key Metrics and Forward P/E Ratios sections above. The P/E ratio compares the current share price to earnings per share and helps investors gauge valuation relative to earnings.
How is intrinsic value calculated for TKR?
MARKETSnap uses its own valuation framework—not a generic spreadsheet DCF alone. Future cash flows and earnings are projected, discounted, and combined with MARKETSnap’s methodology so intrinsic value reflects fundamentals and long-term assumptions. You can run your own inputs and see the result using the Intrinsic Value Calculator above.
Is TKR a good long-term investment?
Whether TKR fits a long-term portfolio depends on your assumptions about growth, margins, and risk. MARKETSnap provides the metrics, intrinsic value calculator, and SWOT context so you can form your own view rather than rely on a single buy/sell rating.
TKR
1-day price chart preview. Log in for 1W through 5Y ranges and period tabs.
Daily snapshot
-3.08
Trading Metrics:
| Open: | 99.47 | Previous Close: | 102.06 | |
| Day Low: | 97.34 | Day High: | 101.32 | |
| Year Low: | 56.2 | Year High: | 111.39 | |
| Price Avg 50: | 101.63 | Price Avg 200: | 84.7 | |
| Volume: | 430310 | Average Volume: | 813581 |
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Login — it's freeTKR full analysis
Welcome to MARKETSNAP’s SWOT analysis for Timken, a company that might not be on everyone’s radar but definitely deserves a closer look if you’re into industrial stocks with a solid history. If you’re a long-term investor looking to build wealth, let’s dive into what makes Timken tick, where it stands today, and what could shape its future. We’ll break this down with a full SWOT—Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats—while keeping things engaging and packed with insights. So, grab a coffee,…
