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Earnings transcript
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AAL
American Airlines Group Inc.
$11.83
0.04
(0.33%)
| Exchange: | NASDAQ |
| Market Cap: | 7.83B |
| Shares Outstanding: | 42.2M |
Delayed data
About The Company
| Sector: | IndustrialsView sector performance | |||||
| Industry: | Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesView industry performance | |||||
| CEO: | Robert D. Isom Jr. | |||||
| Full Time Employees: | 143400 | |||||
| Address: |
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| Website: | https://www.aa.com |
American Airlines Group Inc. functions as a prominent network air carrier, delivering scheduled air transportation for both passengers and freight. Its operations are anchored by key hubs located in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C. Additionally, it expands its global reach through strategic partner gateways situated in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. As of December 31, 2021, the company maintained a substantial mainline fleet comprising 865 aircraft. This enterprise, established in 1930 and headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas, previously operated under the name AMR Corporation until its rebranding to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013.
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Revenue Segmentation
AAL full analysis
Hey everyone, welcome back to MarketSnap. American Airlines is down over twenty percent in the last month, the c-suite is getting cleared out, and there's a simmering war in the Middle East pushing fuel prices around — so is this a falling knife or a genuine discount? Before you panic-sell or blindly buy this dip, we're running AAL through our full framework to see where the numbers actually land. Let's set the table. American Airlines Group trades around thirteen dollars…
Industry Peers
| TICKER | COMPANY | MKT CAP | P/E | FWD P/E | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAL | American Airlines Group Inc. | 7.8B | — | — | 2.1% |
 ASR | Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A.… | 6.9B | 12.9 | 11.3 | 13.7% |
 CPA | Copa Holdings, S.A. | 5.4B | 8.8 | 8.5 | 12.2% |
 PAC | Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.… | 10.3B | 18.5 | 16.9 | 10.7% |
 JOBY | Joby Aviation, Inc. | 4.5B | — | — | -33.5% |
 OMAB | Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, … | 4.3B | 14.8 | 12.2 | 23.6% |
EPS
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Earnings Call
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Key takeaways
Short, structured highlights from the call so you can focus on what matters.
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Login — it's freeIncome Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 52,788,000 | 54,211,000 | 54,633,000 |
| Gross Profit | 11,810,000 | 11,465,000 | 10,471,000 |
| EBITDA | 5,520,000 | 5,333,000 | 4,125,000 |
| Operating Income | 3,034,000 | 2,614,000 | 1,467,000 |
| Net Income | 822,000 | 846,000 | 111,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Balance Sheet
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | 63,058,000 | 61,783,000 | 61,774,000 |
| Total Liabilities | 68,260,000 | 65,760,000 | 65,501,000 |
| Total Stockholders Equity | -5,202,000 | -3,977,000 | -3,727,000 |
| Total Debt | 40,663,000 | 37,544,000 | 42,789,000 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 578,000 | 804,000 | 954,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Cash Flow Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | 3,803,000 | 3,983,000 | 3,099,000 |
| Capital Expenditure | -2,596,000 | -2,683,000 | 0 |
| Free Cash Flow | 1,207,000 | 1,300,000 | 3,099,000 |
| Net Income | 822,000 | 846,000 | 0 |
| Net Change in Cash | 95,000 | 221,000 | 154,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Analyst Estimates
| Fiscal Year | 2030 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated Revenue (Low) | 72,463,028.379 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Revenue (High) | 79,580,126.942 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Revenue (Avg) | 77,516,000 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Low) | 7,621,560.104 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (High) | 7,981,088.830 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Avg) | 7,876,818.534 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Low) | 1,938,463.711 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Net Income (High) | 2,191,252.992 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Avg) | 2,117,939.203 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Low) | 2,577,726.507 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (High) | 2,830,902.976 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Avg) | 2,757,475.811 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated EPS (Avg) | 3.200 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated EPS (High) | 3.310 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated EPS (Low) | 2.930 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated Revenue) | 8 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated EPS) | 4 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
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Current Key Metrics
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Login — it's freeSWOT Analysis
Strengths (preview)
- Robust Revenue Performance: AAL has demonstrated consistent revenue generation as per the latest income statements, reflecting strong operational capacity within the airline industry. Revenue figures indicate a solid market presence, supported by diverse product categories and geographic segments as detailed in revenue product and geo segments data.
- Operational Scale and Market Position: With a significant market capitalization and a high average trading volume as noted in the company profile, AAL maintains a strong foothold in the industrials sector and airline industry, backed by a large workforce and extensive operational infrastructure.
- Positive Free Cash Flow: The cash flow statements highlight a favorable free cash flow yield (TTM) and consistent operating cash flow, indicating AAL's ability to generate cash after accounting for capital expenditures, which supports financial stability and flexibility for future investments.
- Industry and Sector Alignment: AAL benefits from being part of an industry and sector with competitive performance metrics over various timeframes (1w, 1m, 3m, 6m, 1y, 5y), as per industry and sector data, positioning the company well within market trends and investor expectations.
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At what price to buy it? -
Intrinsic Value Calculator
Based on current fundamentals and analyst forecasts, MarketSnap estimates AAL intrinsic value between $169.78 – $264.21 per share. This depends on revenue growth, margins, and discount rate.
This is an automatic estimate. The most reliable way to know fair value for your own assumptions is to run the calculator below.
Common questions about AAL valuation
Is American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) overvalued or undervalued right now?
MarketSnap estimates intrinsic value for American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) using its proprietary valuation methodology, which incorporates discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis together with long-term earnings and fundamentals assumptions. By comparing intrinsic value to the current market price, long-term investors can see whether the stock screens as potentially overvalued, fairly valued, or undervalued today.
Is AAL a buy, hold, or sell for long-term investors?
MarketSnap does not give one-word “buy” or “sell” calls. Instead, it shows whether AAL trades at a premium or discount to its estimated intrinsic value, how sensitive that value is to growth and margin assumptions, and how the stock fits into a diversified, long-term portfolio so investors can make their own buy, hold, or sell decision.
What is AAL’s P/E ratio?
You can see AAL’s trailing P/E (TTM) and forward P/E estimates in the Current Key Metrics and Forward P/E Ratios sections above. The P/E ratio compares the current share price to earnings per share and helps investors gauge valuation relative to earnings.
How is intrinsic value calculated for AAL?
MarketSnap uses its own valuation framework—not a generic spreadsheet DCF alone. Future cash flows and earnings are projected, discounted, and combined with MarketSnap’s methodology so intrinsic value reflects fundamentals and long-term assumptions. You can run your own inputs and see the result using the Intrinsic Value Calculator above.
Is AAL a good long-term investment?
Whether AAL fits a long-term portfolio depends on your assumptions about growth, margins, and risk. MarketSnap provides the metrics, intrinsic value calculator, and SWOT context so you can form your own view rather than rely on a single buy/sell rating.
AAL
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Daily snapshot
0.33
Trading Metrics:
| Open: | 11.78 | Previous Close: | 11.79 | |
| Day Low: | 11.73 | Day High: | 11.86 | |
| Year Low: | 10.09 | Year High: | 18.79 | |
| Price Avg 50: | 13.59 | Price Avg 200: | 13.72 | |
| Volume: | 9.01M | Average Volume: | 94.428M |
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