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AAL
American Airlines Group Inc.
$13.18
0.25
(1.93%)
| Exchange: | NASDAQ |
| Market Cap: | 8.733B |
| Shares Outstanding: | 660.492M |
Delayed data
About The Company
| Sector: | IndustrialsView sector performance | |||||
| Industry: | Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesView industry performance | |||||
| CEO: | Robert D. Isom Jr. | |||||
| Full Time Employees: | 141100 | |||||
| Address: |
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| Website: | https://www.aa.com |
American Airlines Group Inc. functions as a prominent network air carrier, delivering scheduled air transportation for both passengers and freight. Its operations are anchored by key hubs located in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C. Additionally, it expands its global reach through strategic partner gateways situated in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. As of December 31, 2021, the company maintained a substantial mainline fleet comprising 865 aircraft. This enterprise, established in 1930 and headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas, previously operated under the name AMR Corporation until its rebranding to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013.
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Revenue Segmentation
Revenue by type
Revenue by region
AAL full analysis
Welcome back to MarketSnap. Today we're looking at American Airlines, and I want to start with a contradiction that should bother you. The company just posted the best revenue quarter in its history — a record top line, premium demand strong, guidance beaten. And the stock is sitting around twelve dollars, lower than when we last covered it back in May. So we said back then: high-risk, high-reward turnaround, wait for a catalyst. Six months later, has the catalyst arrived?…
Industry Peers
| TICKER | COMPANY | MKT CAP | P/E | FWD P/E | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAL | American Airlines Group Inc. | 8.7B | — | — | 2.0% |
 ASR | Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A.… | 8.0B | 14.8 | 13.8 | 8.4% |
 JOBY | Joby Aviation, Inc. | 5.9B | — | — | -38.0% |
 CPA | Copa Holdings, S.A. | 5.9B | 9.4 | 9.5 | 12.2% |
 OMAB | Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, … | 5.3B | 18.1 | 16.0 | 22.1% |
 PAC | Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.… | 12.9B | 17.8 | 22.9 | 13.0% |
EPS
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Earnings Call
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Key takeaways
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Login — it's freeIncome Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 52,788,000 | 54,211,000 | 54,633,000 |
| Gross Profit | 11,810,000 | 11,465,000 | 10,471,000 |
| EBITDA | 5,520,000 | 5,333,000 | 4,125,000 |
| Operating Income | 3,034,000 | 2,614,000 | 1,467,000 |
| Net Income | 822,000 | 846,000 | 111,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Balance Sheet
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | 63,058,000 | 61,783,000 | 61,774,000 |
| Total Liabilities | 68,260,000 | 65,760,000 | 65,501,000 |
| Total Stockholders Equity | -5,202,000 | -3,977,000 | -3,727,000 |
| Total Debt | 40,663,000 | 37,544,000 | 42,789,000 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 578,000 | 804,000 | 954,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Cash Flow Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | 3,803,000 | 3,983,000 | 3,099,000 |
| Capital Expenditure | -2,596,000 | -2,683,000 | 0 |
| Free Cash Flow | 1,207,000 | 1,300,000 | 3,099,000 |
| Net Income | 822,000 | 846,000 | 0 |
| Net Change in Cash | 95,000 | 221,000 | 154,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Analyst Estimates
| Fiscal Year | 2030 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated Revenue (Low) | 77,366,597.445 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Revenue (High) | 82,571,364.044 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Revenue (Avg) | 80,446,000 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Low) | 8,878,498.144 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (High) | 9,230,816.339 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Avg) | 9,086,944.604 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Low) | 2,798,697.811 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Net Income (High) | 3,046,417.275 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Avg) | 2,945,259.204 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Low) | 2,752,161.115 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (High) | 2,937,310.220 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Avg) | 2,861,704.669 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated EPS (Avg) | 4.450 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated EPS (High) | 4.600 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated EPS (Low) | 4.230 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated Revenue) | 10 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated EPS) | 4 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
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Current Key Metrics
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Login — it's freeSWOT Analysis
Strengths (preview)
- Record revenue scale with premium demand momentum: Q3 2026 revenue reached a record $16.34 billion, up 19.3% year-over-year and ahead of guidance, driven by strong premium demand. FY2025 revenue of $54.63 billion represents continued growth from $54.21 billion in FY2024 and $52.79 billion in FY2023, supporting a dominant domestic network anchored by nine key hubs (Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, Washington D.C.) and a diversified international footprint (Atlantic $6.58B, Latin America $6.44B, Pacific $1.42B in FY2025).
- Improved balance sheet trajectory and operating cash generation: Total stockholders' equity improved from -$7.34 billion (FY2021) to -$3.73 billion (FY2025), while total liabilities declined from $73.81 billion to $65.50 billion over the same period. Operating cash flow has been positive since FY2022 ($2.17B), reaching $3.10 billion in FY2025. ROE TTM of 12.03% and gross margin TTM of 21.36% indicate recovering underlying profitability.
- Valuation discount versus industry and forward earnings inflection: P/S TTM of 0.13 is low on an absolute basis, and the TTM P/E of -16.59 reflects current losses rather than structural unprofitability. Consensus forward EPS estimates show a sharp inflection: $1.00 (FY2027, forward P/E 12.87), $3.22 (FY2028, forward P/E 4.00), and $4.45 (FY2030, forward P/E 2.89)—well below the industry average TTM P/E of 32.78. GuruFocus GF Value of $15.37 versus a ~$11.88–$12.20 price range implies a margin of safety on intrinsic-value screens.
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At what price to buy it? -
Intrinsic Value Calculator
Based on current fundamentals and analyst forecasts, MarketSnap estimates AAL intrinsic value between $220.21 – $345.23 per share. This depends on revenue growth, margins, and discount rate.
This is an automatic estimate. The most reliable way to know fair value for your own assumptions is to run the calculator below.
Common questions about AAL valuation
Is American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) overvalued or undervalued right now?
MarketSnap estimates intrinsic value for American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) using its proprietary valuation methodology, which incorporates discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis together with long-term earnings and fundamentals assumptions. By comparing intrinsic value to the current market price, long-term investors can see whether the stock screens as potentially overvalued, fairly valued, or undervalued today.
Is AAL a buy, hold, or sell for long-term investors?
MarketSnap does not give one-word “buy” or “sell” calls. Instead, it shows whether AAL trades at a premium or discount to its estimated intrinsic value, how sensitive that value is to growth and margin assumptions, and how the stock fits into a diversified, long-term portfolio so investors can make their own buy, hold, or sell decision.
What is AAL’s P/E ratio?
You can see AAL’s trailing P/E (TTM) and forward P/E estimates in the Current Key Metrics and Forward P/E Ratios sections above. The P/E ratio compares the current share price to earnings per share and helps investors gauge valuation relative to earnings.
How is intrinsic value calculated for AAL?
MarketSnap uses its own valuation framework—not a generic spreadsheet DCF alone. Future cash flows and earnings are projected, discounted, and combined with MarketSnap’s methodology so intrinsic value reflects fundamentals and long-term assumptions. You can run your own inputs and see the result using the Intrinsic Value Calculator above.
Is AAL a good long-term investment?
Whether AAL fits a long-term portfolio depends on your assumptions about growth, margins, and risk. MarketSnap provides the metrics, intrinsic value calculator, and SWOT context so you can form your own view rather than rely on a single buy/sell rating.
AAL
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Daily snapshot
1.93
Trading Metrics:
| Open: | 13.09 | Previous Close: | 12.93 | |
| Day Low: | 12.97 | Day High: | 13.28 | |
| Year Low: | 10.09 | Year High: | 18.79 | |
| Price Avg 50: | 12.89 | Price Avg 200: | 13.48 | |
| Volume: | 52.417M | Average Volume: | 76.451M |
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