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Earnings transcript
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XPO
XPO Logistics, Inc.
$186.67
-2.16
(-1.14%)
| Exchange: | NYSE |
| Market Cap: | 21.857B |
| Shares Outstanding: | 1.626M |
Delayed data
About The Company
| Sector: | IndustrialsView sector performance | |||||
| Industry: | TruckingView industry performance | |||||
| CEO: | Mario A. Harik | |||||
| Full Time Employees: | 38000 | |||||
| Address: |
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| Website: | https://www.xpo.com |
XPO Logistics, Inc. is a prominent provider of freight shipping solutions, operating extensively across the United States, wider North America, various European nations including France and the United Kingdom, and globally. The company’s business activities are structured into two primary divisions. The North American LTL (Less-Than-Truckload) segment delivers crucial LTL services, guaranteeing timely and geographically comprehensive transportation for regional, inter-regional, and cross-continental freight. This division also handles cross-border shipments connecting the U.S. with Mexico and Canada, alongside domestic services within Canada. Its second division, Brokerage and Other Services, focuses on the crucial final leg of delivery for substantial goods purchased through e-commerce platforms, omnichannel retail, and direct-to-consumer channels. Furthermore, this segment provides brokered freight services that fall outside its core operations. XPO serves a wide range of industries, including industrial and manufacturing, retail and e-commerce, food and beverage, logistics and general transportation, and consumer goods. Founded in 2000, the company is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.
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Revenue Segmentation
EPS
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Earnings Call
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Key takeaways
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Login — it's freeIncome Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 7,744,000 | 8,072,000 | 8,157,000 |
| Gross Profit | 770,000 | 915,000 | 979,000 |
| EBITDA | 860,000 | 1,186,000 | 1,177,000 |
| Operating Income | 438,000 | 660,000 | 729,000 |
| Net Income | 189,000 | 387,000 | 316,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Balance Sheet
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | 7,492,000 | 7,712,000 | 6,564,000 |
| Total Liabilities | 6,226,000 | 6,111,000 | 4,778,000 |
| Total Stockholders Equity | 1,266,000 | 1,600,000 | 1,861,000 |
| Total Debt | 4,113,000 | 4,117,000 | 4,090,000 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 412,000 | 246,000 | 310,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Cash Flow Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | 682,000 | 808,000 | 986,000 |
| Capital Expenditure | -1,533,000 | -789,000 | -657,000 |
| Free Cash Flow | -851,000 | 19,000 | 329,000 |
| Net Income | 192,000 | 387,000 | 316,000 |
| Net Change in Cash | -51,000 | -121,000 | 32,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Analyst Estimates
| Fiscal Year | 2030 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated Revenue (Low) | 11,077,755.252 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Revenue (High) | 11,910,487.461 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Revenue (Avg) | 11,494,000 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Low) | 2,653,670.735 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (High) | 2,811,879.995 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Avg) | 2,732,752.364 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Low) | 1,366,442.501 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Net Income (High) | 1,501,496.792 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Avg) | 1,433,950.012 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Low) | 235,977.571 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (High) | 253,716.374 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Avg) | 244,844.387 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated EPS (Avg) | 12.050 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated EPS (High) | 12.620 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated EPS (Low) | 11.480 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated Revenue) | 5 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated EPS) | 1 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
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Current Key Metrics
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Intrinsic Value Calculator
Based on current fundamentals and analyst forecasts, MarketSnap estimates XPO intrinsic value between $139.66 – $156.02 per share. This depends on revenue growth, margins, and discount rate.
This is an automatic estimate. The most reliable way to know fair value for your own assumptions is to run the calculator below.
Common questions about XPO valuation
Is XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) overvalued or undervalued right now?
MarketSnap estimates intrinsic value for XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) using its proprietary valuation methodology, which incorporates discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis together with long-term earnings and fundamentals assumptions. By comparing intrinsic value to the current market price, long-term investors can see whether the stock screens as potentially overvalued, fairly valued, or undervalued today.
Is XPO a buy, hold, or sell for long-term investors?
MarketSnap does not give one-word “buy” or “sell” calls. Instead, it shows whether XPO trades at a premium or discount to its estimated intrinsic value, how sensitive that value is to growth and margin assumptions, and how the stock fits into a diversified, long-term portfolio so investors can make their own buy, hold, or sell decision.
What is XPO’s P/E ratio?
You can see XPO’s trailing P/E (TTM) and forward P/E estimates in the Current Key Metrics and Forward P/E Ratios sections above. The P/E ratio compares the current share price to earnings per share and helps investors gauge valuation relative to earnings.
How is intrinsic value calculated for XPO?
MarketSnap uses its own valuation framework—not a generic spreadsheet DCF alone. Future cash flows and earnings are projected, discounted, and combined with MarketSnap’s methodology so intrinsic value reflects fundamentals and long-term assumptions. You can run your own inputs and see the result using the Intrinsic Value Calculator above.
Is XPO a good long-term investment?
Whether XPO fits a long-term portfolio depends on your assumptions about growth, margins, and risk. MarketSnap provides the metrics, intrinsic value calculator, and SWOT context so you can form your own view rather than rely on a single buy/sell rating.
XPO
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Daily snapshot
-1.14
Trading Metrics:
| Open: | 189.41 | Previous Close: | 188.83 | |
| Day Low: | 185.48 | Day High: | 191.01 | |
| Year Low: | 121.48 | Year High: | 232.05 | |
| Price Avg 50: | 187.71 | Price Avg 200: | 194.47 | |
| Volume: | 1.38M | Average Volume: | 1.147M |
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