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Earnings transcript
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VST
Vistra Corp.
$146.22
-0.68
(-0.46%)
| Exchange: | NYSE |
| Market Cap: | 49.303B |
| Shares Outstanding: | 427.5M |
Delayed data
About The Company
| Sector: | Utilities | |||||
| Industry: | Independent Power Producers | |||||
| CEO: | James A. Burke | |||||
| Full Time Employees: | 6850 | |||||
| Address: |
| |||||
| Website: | https://www.vistracorp.com |
Vistra Corp., along with its various holdings, functions as a unified entity primarily engaged in retail electricity supply and power generation. The company organizes its operations across six distinct segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, Sunset, and Asset Closure. It directly provides electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial clients throughout 20 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Beyond its retail endeavors, Vistra also participates in generating electricity, facilitating wholesale energy transactions, managing commodity-related risks, producing fuel, and overseeing fuel logistics. With approximately 4.3 million customers, Vistra commands an impressive generation capacity of about 38,700 megawatts. This capacity is sustained by a diverse portfolio of facilities, including those powered by natural gas, nuclear energy, coal, solar, and advanced battery energy storage systems. The enterprise, initially known as Vistra Energy Corp., adopted its current name, Vistra Corp., in July 2020. Tracing its origins back to 1882, Vistra Corp. maintains its corporate headquarters in Irving, Texas.
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Revenue Segmentation
EPS
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Earnings Call
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Key takeaways
Short, structured highlights from the call so you can focus on what matters.
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Login — it's freeIncome Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 15,543,000 | 19,377,000 | 16,972,000 |
| Gross Profit | 5,171,000 | 7,693,000 | 2,974,000 |
| EBITDA | 4,616,000 | 7,192,000 | 5,252,000 |
| Operating Income | 3,913,000 | 6,228,000 | 1,335,000 |
| Net Income | 1,493,000 | 2,659,000 | 944,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Balance Sheet
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | 32,966,000 | 37,770,000 | 3,864,000 |
| Total Liabilities | 27,644,000 | 32,187,000 | 0 |
| Total Stockholders Equity | 5,307,000 | 5,570,000 | 0 |
| Total Debt | 14,684,000 | 17,364,000 | 0 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 3,485,000 | 1,188,000 | 4,070,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Cash Flow Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | 5,453,000 | 4,563,000 | 0 |
| Capital Expenditure | -1,676,000 | 0 | 0 |
| Free Cash Flow | 3,777,000 | 4,563,000 | 0 |
| Net Income | 1,492,000 | 2,812,000 | 0 |
| Net Change in Cash | 3,014,000 | -2,317,000 | -400,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Analyst Estimates
| Fiscal Year | 2030 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated Revenue (Low) | 21,394,407.812 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Revenue (High) | 31,222,278.781 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Revenue (Avg) | 26,337,894.700 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Low) | 4,765,176.870 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (High) | 6,954,138.763 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Avg) | 5,866,239.801 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Low) | 4,271,595.230 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Net Income (High) | 7,012,486.600 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Avg) | 5,650,282.764 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Low) | 1,701,475.910 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (High) | 2,483,076.683 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Avg) | 2,094,626.490 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated EPS (Avg) | 16.630 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated EPS (High) | 20.640 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Estimated EPS (Low) | 12.570 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated Revenue) | 5 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated EPS) | 3 | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access | Full Access |
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Current Key Metrics
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Login — it's freeForward P/E Ratios
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Login — it's freeSWOT Analysis
Strengths (preview)
- Robust Financial Performance: Vistra Corp. reported strong full-year adjusted EBITDA for 2024, as highlighted in the Q4 earnings call, reflecting effective operational management and profitability. Key metrics such as revenue, net income, and operating cash flow from the income and cash flow statements indicate consistent financial health.
- Strategic Asset Positioning: The earnings call emphasized Vistra’s diverse energy portfolio, including nuclear and renewable assets, which positions the company favorably in the energy transition landscape. This aligns with industry trends toward cleaner energy, as noted in the sector performance data.
- Positive Market Performance: VST’s performance metrics (perf1w, perf1m, perf3m, etc.) show competitive returns compared to industry and sector averages, indicating investor confidence and market strength over short- and long-term periods.
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At what price to buy it? -
Intrinsic Value Calculator
Based on current fundamentals and analyst forecasts, MARKETSnap estimates VST intrinsic value between $82.99 – $190.44 per share. This depends on revenue growth, margins, and discount rate.
This is an automatic estimate. The most reliable way to know fair value for your own assumptions is to run the calculator below.
[intrinsic_calculator]
Common questions about VST valuation
Is Vistra Corp. (VST) overvalued or undervalued right now?
MARKETSnap estimates intrinsic value for Vistra Corp. (VST) using its proprietary valuation methodology, which incorporates discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis together with long-term earnings and fundamentals assumptions. By comparing intrinsic value to the current market price, long-term investors can see whether the stock screens as potentially overvalued, fairly valued, or undervalued today.
Is VST a buy, hold, or sell for long-term investors?
MARKETSnap does not give one-word “buy” or “sell” calls. Instead, it shows whether VST trades at a premium or discount to its estimated intrinsic value, how sensitive that value is to growth and margin assumptions, and how the stock fits into a diversified, long-term portfolio so investors can make their own buy, hold, or sell decision.
What is VST’s P/E ratio?
You can see VST’s trailing P/E (TTM) and forward P/E estimates in the Current Key Metrics and Forward P/E Ratios sections above. The P/E ratio compares the current share price to earnings per share and helps investors gauge valuation relative to earnings.
How is intrinsic value calculated for VST?
MARKETSnap uses its own valuation framework—not a generic spreadsheet DCF alone. Future cash flows and earnings are projected, discounted, and combined with MARKETSnap’s methodology so intrinsic value reflects fundamentals and long-term assumptions. You can run your own inputs and see the result using the Intrinsic Value Calculator above.
Is VST a good long-term investment?
Whether VST fits a long-term portfolio depends on your assumptions about growth, margins, and risk. MARKETSnap provides the metrics, intrinsic value calculator, and SWOT context so you can form your own view rather than rely on a single buy/sell rating.
VST
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Daily snapshot
-0.46
Trading Metrics:
| Open: | 148.42 | Previous Close: | 146.9 | |
| Day Low: | 141.54 | Day High: | 150.3 | |
| Year Low: | 132.66 | Year High: | 219.82 | |
| Price Avg 50: | 154.27 | Price Avg 200: | 171.87 | |
| Volume: | 3.959M | Average Volume: | 4.661M |
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Login — it's freeVST full analysis
Hey everyone, welcome back to the channel! Today, we’re diving deep into a comprehensive analysis of Vistra Corp., ticker symbol VST, a major player in the energy sector. If you’re looking to understand whether this stock deserves a spot in your portfolio, stick around because we’re covering everything from financials to recent performance, valuation, and much more. Let’s get started! So, why are we talking about Vistra today? Well, this company has been making waves in the utilities space, especially…
