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AGNC
AGNC Investment Corp.
$8.53
-0.16
(-1.84%)
| Exchange: | NASDAQ |
| Market Cap: | 10.866B |
| Shares Outstanding: | 15M |
Delayed data
About The Company
| Sector: | Real EstateView sector performance | |||||
| Industry: | REIT – MortgageView industry performance | |||||
| CEO: | Peter J. Federico | |||||
| Full Time Employees: | 54 | |||||
| Address: |
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| Website: | https://www.agnc.com |
AGNC Investment Corp. functions as a U.S.-based real estate investment trust (REIT). The firm primarily concentrates its investments on residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs). A defining feature of these securities is that their principal and interest payments are secured by guarantees from either U.S. government-sponsored entities or federal government agencies. To fund these investments, AGNC largely depends on secured borrowings, specifically organized as repurchase agreements. The company has opted for REIT tax status under the 1986 Internal Revenue Code, which exempts it from federal corporate income taxes, contingent on distributing a minimum of 90% of its taxable profits to its shareholders. Originally established in 2008, the entity, with its headquarters in Bethesda, Maryland, operated as American Capital Agency Corp. until it adopted its current name, AGNC Investment Corp., in September 2016.
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Revenue Segmentation
AGNC full analysis
Welcome back to MarketSnap. AGNC pays a monthly dividend that adds up to roughly a dollar forty-four a year. On an eight-and-a-half-dollar stock, that's a yield around seventeen percent. Sounds like the income opportunity of the decade, right? Now look at the chart. Down roughly 11% in a month. Down 19% in three months. Down almost half over five years. And on Tuesday, the market spent the session rotating away from tech and toward cyclicals — Dow and small caps…
Industry Peers
| TICKER | COMPANY | MKT CAP | P/E | FWD P/E | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGNC | AGNC Investment Corp. | 10.9B | 124 | 5.5 | 2.9% |
 NLY | Annaly Capital Management, Inc. | 14.4B | 12.7 | 5.8 | 4.6% |
 STWD | Starwood Property Trust, Inc. | 4.6B | 18.2 | 8.5 | 2.2% |
 RWTN | Redwood Trust, Inc. 9.125% Seni | 2.8B | — | 25.1 | 5.9% |
 DX | Dynex Capital, Inc. | 2.7B | 48.4 | 7.2 | 2.7% |
 BXMT | Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. | 1.8B | — | 9.9 | 2.6% |
EPS
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Earnings Call
AI summary
Key takeaways
Short, structured highlights from the call so you can focus on what matters.
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Login — it's freeIncome Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1,006,000 | 4,876,000 | 1,912,000 |
| Gross Profit | 1,006,000 | 4,876,000 | 1,912,000 |
| EBITDA | 2,442,000 | 3,794,000 | 4,695,000 |
| Operating Income | 2,588,000 | 3,881,000 | 4,518,000 |
| Net Income | 155,000 | 863,000 | 1,670,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Balance Sheet
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | 71,596,000 | 88,015,000 | 115,077,000 |
| Total Liabilities | 63,339,000 | 78,253,000 | 102,684,000 |
| Total Stockholders Equity | 8,257,000 | 9,762,000 | 12,393,000 |
| Total Debt | 80,000 | 64,000 | 101,794,000 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 518,000 | 505,000 | 1,742,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Cash Flow Statement
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -118,000 | 86,000 | 653,000 |
| Capital Expenditure | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Free Cash Flow | -118,000 | 86,000 | 653,000 |
| Net Income | 155,000 | 863,000 | 1,670,000 |
| Net Change in Cash | -563,000 | 0 | -29,000 |
(* All numbers are in thousands)
Analyst Estimates
| Fiscal Year | 2028 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated Revenue (Low) | 3,423,223.398 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Revenue (High) | 5,774,239.779 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Revenue (Avg) | 4,293,360.206 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Low) | 1,897,299.002 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (High) | 2,231,867.487 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Ebitda (Avg) | 2,064,583.244 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Low) | 1,427,273.252 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Net Income (High) | 1,691,582.355 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated Net Income (Avg) | 1,559,427.804 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Low) | 97,158.626 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (High) | 163,885.654 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated SGA Expense (Avg) | 121,855.027 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated EPS (Avg) | 1.470 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated EPS (High) | 1.650 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Estimated EPS (Low) | 1.390 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated Revenue) | 3 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
| Number of Analysts (Estimated EPS) | 4 | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access | Research Access |
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Current Key Metrics
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Login — it's freeSWOT Analysis
Strengths (preview)
- Agency-backed portfolio with high margins: The investment portfolio consists of RMBS and CMOs with principal and interest guaranteed by U.S. government-sponsored entities or federal agencies, materially reducing credit risk. TTM gross margin (75.7%) and net margin (72.0%) reflect the efficiency of this model.
- Elevated returns on equity: TTM ROE of 18.3% and management guidance of 18%–20% ROE indicate strong profitability relative to the equity base, supported by the current interest rate environment.
- Low operating overhead: A full-time staff of 54 supports a $10.0B market cap entity, keeping the operating cost base minimal relative to the balance sheet.
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At what price to buy it? -
Intrinsic Value Calculator
Based on current fundamentals and analyst forecasts, MarketSnap estimates AGNC intrinsic value between $5.57 – $7.32 per share. This depends on revenue growth, margins, and discount rate.
This is an automatic estimate. The most reliable way to know fair value for your own assumptions is to run the calculator below.
Common questions about AGNC valuation
Is AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) overvalued or undervalued right now?
MarketSnap estimates intrinsic value for AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) using its proprietary valuation methodology, which incorporates discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis together with long-term earnings and fundamentals assumptions. By comparing intrinsic value to the current market price, long-term investors can see whether the stock screens as potentially overvalued, fairly valued, or undervalued today.
Is AGNC a buy, hold, or sell for long-term investors?
MarketSnap does not give one-word “buy” or “sell” calls. Instead, it shows whether AGNC trades at a premium or discount to its estimated intrinsic value, how sensitive that value is to growth and margin assumptions, and how the stock fits into a diversified, long-term portfolio so investors can make their own buy, hold, or sell decision.
What is AGNC’s P/E ratio?
You can see AGNC’s trailing P/E (TTM) and forward P/E estimates in the Current Key Metrics and Forward P/E Ratios sections above. The P/E ratio compares the current share price to earnings per share and helps investors gauge valuation relative to earnings.
How is intrinsic value calculated for AGNC?
MarketSnap uses its own valuation framework—not a generic spreadsheet DCF alone. Future cash flows and earnings are projected, discounted, and combined with MarketSnap’s methodology so intrinsic value reflects fundamentals and long-term assumptions. You can run your own inputs and see the result using the Intrinsic Value Calculator above.
Is AGNC a good long-term investment?
Whether AGNC fits a long-term portfolio depends on your assumptions about growth, margins, and risk. MarketSnap provides the metrics, intrinsic value calculator, and SWOT context so you can form your own view rather than rely on a single buy/sell rating.
AGNC
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Daily snapshot
-1.84
Trading Metrics:
| Open: | 8.66 | Previous Close: | 8.69 | |
| Day Low: | 8.52 | Day High: | 8.68 | |
| Year Low: | 8.38 | Year High: | 12.19 | |
| Price Avg 50: | 9.54 | Price Avg 200: | 10.48 | |
| Volume: | 28.098M | Average Volume: | 26.205M |
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